11th Annual Conference 2023 – Uneven growth prospects

DAY 1  September 27, 2023

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POSTER session

• Are oral interventions in foreign exchange markets effective? Evidence from emerging markets.

A. Sánchez, J. Parra, M. Sarmiento, Central Bank of Colombia

•  Impact of monetary policy on bank profitability in Tunisia: Evidence from a dynamic panel model analysis.

Chokri Khalfaoui, Sabiha Rezgui, Central Bank of Tunisia

• Sparse warcasting.

Mihnea Constantinescu, National Bank of Ukraine

• The global financial cycle and the effects of Fed unconventional monetary policies on foreign portfolio flows in Colombia.

N. Cardozo, D. Castañeda, F. Gamboa, Central Bank of Colombia

• Using national payment system data to nowcast economic activity in Azerbaijan.

I. Huseynov, N. Ramazanova, H. Valirzayev, Central Bank of the Republic of Azerbaijan

WORKSHOP 1: Macro effects of financial shocks

• Impact of financial stress on real economy in time of crisis using macroprudential DSGE model: Case of Tunisia.

Hager Ben Romdhane, Mehdi Bellalouna, Central Bank of Tunisia

• The interplay between credit dynamics and macro-financial vulnerabilities: A thorough analysis of financial shocks and policy implications.

Meri Papavangjeli, Bank of Albania Comments by: Kenza Benhima, University of Lausanne

WORKSHOP 2: Tax and interest rates

• Estimation and assessment of measures of the natural rate of interest: Evidence from Latin American economies with inflation targeting.

Erick Lahura, Marco Vega, Central Reserve Bank of Peru

• Wealth taxes and firms’ capital structures: Credit supply and real effects.

H. Rincon, A. Granados, J.-L. Peydró, M. Sarmiento, Central Bank of Colombia Comments by: Nathan Sussman,The Geneva Graduate Institute

WORKSHOP 3: Spillovers

• European economic policy uncertainty spillover on the Tunisian Economy: Evidence from nonlinear SVAR model.

Zied Jaidi, Central Bank of Tunisia

• House prices and international remittances: Evidence from Colombia.

Jair Ojeda-Joya, Sergi Basco, Central Bank of Colombia Comments by: Cédric Tille, BCC & The Geneva Graduate Institute

DAY 2  September 28, 2023

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Setting the stage: An overview of recent research

KEYNOTE PRESENTATION: Sebnem KALEMLI-OZCAN, University of Maryland POLICY PRESENTATION: Matteo MAGGIORI, Stanford University

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POLICY PANEL 1: Prospects advanced vs emerging countries?

Chair: Ugo Panizza, Geneva Graduate Institute

• Ayhan Kose, World Bank
• Enrique Mendoza, University of Pennsylvania
• José Pulido, Central Bank of Colombia
• Aygun Garayeva, Central Bank of the Republic of Azerbaijan
• Belma Colakovic, Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina
• Luljeta Minxhozi, Bank of Albania

POLICY PANEL 2: Financial crisis?

Chair: Robert Sheehy, International Monetary Fund (retiree)

• Deniz Igan, Bank of International Settlements
• Nicolas Stoffels, Swiss National Bank
• Mohamed Salim Mouha, Central Bank of Tunisia
• Mihnea Constantinescu, National Bank of Ukraine

POLICY PANEL 3: Capital flows

Chair: Paul Mathieu, International Monetary Fund (retiree)

• Graciela Kaminsky, George Washington University
• Maaroufi Anass, Bank Al-Maghrib
• Gan-Ochir Doojav, Bank of Mongolia
• Carlos Montoro, Central Reserve Bank of Peru
• Olimjon Odilov, Central Bank of the Republic of Uzbekistan